Will the maximum temperature be 103-104° on Aug 26, 2026?
103° to 104°KalshiSettled Yes18.8K contracts traded
Yes
Settled Aug 27, 2026 · opened at 49%
Venue price history · ring: settled Yes (100%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
99.5% to 50% (−49.5 pts)Aug 27, 2:01 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
80% to 91% (+11 pts)Aug 26, 4:40 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
70% to 80% (+10 pts)Aug 26, 4:18 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
56% to 67% (+10 pts)Aug 26, 2:18 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
55% to 62% (+7 pts)Aug 25, 8:19 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the maximum temperature recorded at Austin (CLIAUS) for Aug 26, 2026, is between 103-104° fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes.
Not all weather data is the same.
While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company.
Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value.
Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings.
- Ticker
- KXHIGHAUS-26AUG26-B103.5
- Closes
- Aug 27, 2026
- Category
- Climate and weather
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