Who will win the governorship in California?
Xavier BecerraKalshiOpen, closes Nov 3, 20276M contracts traded
97%
Yes · +0.2 pts in 24 h · bid 97%, ask 97%
Venue price history, then the order book Langbot recorded to the close
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
70% to 84% (+14 pts)Jun 6, 8:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
79% to 70% (−9 pts)Jun 5, 5:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
57% to 68% (+11 pts)May 28, 6:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
55% to 66% (+11 pts)May 20, 10:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
54% to 48% (−6 pts)May 15, 1:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If Xavier Becerra is elected to the governorship of California pursuant to the election in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
See full rules for details.
- Ticker
- KXGOVCA-26-XBEC
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027
- Category
- Elections
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