99%
Yes · +50.5 pts in 24 h · bid 98%, ask 99%
Last traded price, then the order book Langbot recorded to the close
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
31% to 89% (+58 pts)Nov 3, 9:28 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
80% to 31% (−49 pts)Nov 3, 8:54 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
57% to 80% (+23 pts)Nov 3, 8:13 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
37% to 52% (+15 pts)Nov 3, 11:30 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
41% to 30% (−11 pts)Nov 2, 3:01 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If James Talarico wins the 2026 Texas Senate general election in Bastrop County, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
See full rules for details.
- Ticker
- KXGENERALCOUNTY-SENATETX-26-BAST
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027
- Category
- Elections
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