Markets

Will Abdul El-Sayed win Genesee County?

KalshiOpen, closes Nov 3, 20274,428 contracts traded

99%

Yes · +7.5 pts in 24 h · bid 98%, ask 99%

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100%50%0%
Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4

Last traded price, then the order book Langbot recorded to the close

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

  1. 70% to 97% (+27 pts)Nov 4, 8:16 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  2. 91% to 70% (−21 pts)Nov 4, 12:13 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  3. 81% to 91% (+10 pts)Nov 3, 7:32 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  4. 78% to 88% (+10 pts)Nov 3, 7:01 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  5. 82% to 90% (+8 pts)Nov 3, 4:50 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If Abdul El-Sayed wins the 2026 Michigan Senate general election in Genesee County, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.

See full rules for details.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXGENERALCOUNTY-SENATEMI-26-GEN
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Category
Elections

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