Will **real GDP** increase by more than 4.0% in Q3 2026?
Above 4.0%KalshiSettled No108K contracts traded
No
Settled Oct 29, 2026
Opening and final price only · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If real GDP (as measured by the BEA’s seasonally adjusted and annualized Advance Estimate) increases by more than 4.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will close at 8:29 AM on the day of the expected release of the data.
The market will expire at the first 10:00 AM following the release of the data for Q3 2026, or 3 months following that expected date of data release.
Please note the Expiration Value is the one-decimal value published by the BEA.
- Ticker
- KXGDP-26OCT30-T4.0
- Closes
- Oct 29, 2026
- Category
- Economics
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