angbot

Will anyone win the 2026 Georgia Commissioner of Agriculture general election election in the first round?

KalshiOpen, closes Nov 3, 2027871 contracts traded

94%

Yes · bid 91%, ask 96%

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Midpoint of the order book Langbot recorded

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

No move of three points or more on the record.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If any candidate receives the required threshold of votes (over 50%) to be declared the winner after the first round of voting in the 2026 Georgia Commissioner of Agriculture general election, eliminating the need for any subsequent rounds, runoffs, or instant-runoff tabulations, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market resolves to Yes if any candidate meets the legal threshold to avoid a second round.

In two-round systems, this typically means receiving more than 50% of valid votes in the first round.

In instant-runoff/ranked choice voting, this means a candidate received more than 50% of first-preference votes.

Some elections use different thresholds (e.g., 40% with a 10-point lead, or 45%), in which case the applicable legal threshold applies.

The determination is based solely on the first round/first count of votes, before any eliminations, transfers, or subsequent rounds.

Blank votes, null votes, and invalid ballots are excluded unless electoral law specifically includes them.

The market resolves once the relevant electoral body declares whether anyone won the first round.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXGA1ROUND-26NOV03-COM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Category
Elections

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