Markets

Will Democrats win Maine, Michigan, Alaska?

KalshiOpen, closes Nov 3, 20271,348 contracts traded

1%

Yes · bid 0%, ask 1%

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Last traded price, then the order book Langbot recorded to the close

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

No move of three points or more on the record.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If a Democratic candidate in Maine's U.S.

Senate election, a Democratic candidate in Michigan's U.S.

Senate election, a candidate other than a Democrat in New Hampshire's U.S.

Senate election, a Democratic candidate in Alaska's U.S.

Senate election, and a candidate other than a Democrat in Ohio's U.S.

Senate special election win their respective November 3, 2026 elections, then the market resolves to Yes.

A Democratic candidate is a candidate listed with the Democratic Party label on the general election ballot.

Any other winner, including an independent, is a candidate other than a Democrat.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.

The full rules provide further details.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXFIVESTATESEN-26NOV03-TTFTF
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Category
Elections

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