Will Democrats win Michigan, New Hampshire, Alaska, Ohio?
KalshiSettled No10.4K contracts traded
No
Settled Nov 4, 2026
Last traded price · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
10% to 7% (−3 pts)Nov 3, 6:13 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
13% to 8% (−5 pts)Nov 3, 8:58 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
8% to 13% (+5 pts)Nov 3, 7:07 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
11% to 8% (−3 pts)Nov 3, 5:35 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
10% to 13% (+3 pts)Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If a candidate other than a Democrat in Maine's U.S.
Senate election, a Democratic candidate in Michigan's U.S.
Senate election, a Democratic candidate in New Hampshire's U.S.
Senate election, a Democratic candidate in Alaska's U.S.
Senate election, and a Democratic candidate in Ohio's U.S.
Senate special election win their respective November 3, 2026 elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
A Democratic candidate is a candidate listed with the Democratic Party label on the general election ballot.
Any other winner, including an independent, is a candidate other than a Democrat.
This market is eligible for accelerated determination two days after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
The full rules provide further details.
- Ticker
- KXFIVESTATESEN-26NOV03-FTTTT
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027
- Category
- Elections
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