Will Kevin Warsh say Inflation Expectation at his Dec 2026 press conference?
KalshiOpen, closes Dec 10, 2026119 contracts traded
73%
Yes · bid 70%, ask 76%
Midpoint of the order book Langbot recorded
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
62% to 73% (+11 pts)Nov 2, 2:07 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Inflation Expectation at his Dec 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
How this is resolved Video of the Dec 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Dec 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used.
Payout criteria: Exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Doesn't count for payout: Grammatical/tense inflections.
Langbot listens for “inflation expectation”, “inflation expectations”, “inflation expectation's”.
- Ticker
- KXFEDMENTION-26DEC-INFL
- Closes
- Dec 10, 2026
- Category
- Mentions
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