Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 25bps at their September 2026 meeting?
Hike 25bpsKalshiSettled Yes18.8M contracts traded
Yes
Settled Sep 16, 2026
Opening and final price only · ring: settled Yes (100%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of 25bps on September 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market is mutually exclusive.
Therefore, if the Federal Reserve hikes by 50bps, the 50bps market will resolve to Yes and the 25bps market will resolve to No.
Only one bucket, at maximum, can resolve to Yes.
Note 4/28/25: For the markets beginning after the May meeting, if a scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, then the strike for "Fed maintains rate" will resolve to Yes and all others will resolve to No.
- Ticker
- KXFEDDECISION-26SEP-H25
- Closes
- Sep 16, 2026
- Category
- Economics
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