Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by >25bps at their October 2026 meeting?
Cut >25bpsKalshiSettled No269K contracts traded
No
Settled Oct 28, 2026
Opening and final price only · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the Federal Reserve does a Cut of 25bps on October 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The outcomes are mutually exclusive: at most one can resolve to Yes.
For example, a 50-basis-point hike resolves “Hike 25 bps” to Yes and “Hike 25 bps” to No.
If the scheduled FOMC meeting is canceled and does not occur on its scheduled date, “Fed maintains rate” resolves to Yes and all other outcomes resolve to No.
- Ticker
- KXFEDDECISION-26OCT-C26
- Closes
- Oct 28, 2026
- Category
- Economics
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