Will the upper bound of the federal funds rate be above 3.25% following the Fed's Sep 16, 2026 meeting?
KalshiSettled Yes12K contracts traded
Yes
Settled Sep 16, 2026
Opening and final price only · ring: settled Yes (100%), not a trade
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The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
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The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the upper bound of the target federal funds rate published on the Federal Reserve's official website is greater than 3.25% following the Federal Reserve's Sep 16, 2026 meeting, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market will expire the first 2:05 PM ET following the release of a Federal Reserve statement for their Sep 16, 2026 meeting or one week following the last day of that meeting.
- Ticker
- KXFED-26SEP-T3.25
- Closes
- Sep 16, 2026
- Category
- Economics
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