Will Democrats win white suburban women in the exit poll?
Democratic partyKalshiOpen, closes Nov 6, 2026207 contracts traded
90%
Yes · 0 pts in 24 h · bid 85%, ask 94%
Venue price history
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
90% to 51% (−39.5 pts)Sep 24, 10:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
50% to 90% (+40.5 pts)Sep 24, 2:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
90% to 50% (−40 pts)Sep 24, 6:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
46% to 90% (+43.5 pts)Sep 23, 5:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
88% to 46% (−42 pts)Sep 23, 11:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the Democratic Party wins white suburban women in the 2026 United States midterm elections, then the market resolves to Yes.
For purposes of this market, a party “wins” white suburban women if it receives the higher reported share among that group in the national U.S.
House exit poll.
If the relevant parties are tied, each tied strike will receive 1/N of the Settlement Value, where N is the number of tied strikes.
CNN is the primary resolution source, using the applicable figure displayed at Nov 6, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET.
If the figure is unavailable at that time, CNN will remain the primary source for 24 additional hours.
After that, CBS and then ABC will be used, in that order, through Nov 7, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET.
- Ticker
- KXEXITPOLL-WSUBWOM-DEM
- Closes
- Nov 6, 2026
- Category
- Elections
Related on Polymarket
The same question with different terms, so it is not blended into any number here.
Test an idea on this market
Open it in the Langbot app to see the market brief, set alerts on its phrases and test a strategy on the events Langbot has recorded.
Test an idea on this market