Will U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 be above 413 million barrels?
KalshiSettled No4,207 contracts traded
No
Settled Oct 21, 2026
Opening and final price only · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
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The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If U.S. commercial crude oil inventories for the week ending Oct 16, 2026 are strictly above 413 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Underlying is the U.S.
Commercial Crude Oil (Excl.
Lease Stock) inventory level reported by the U.S.
Energy Information Administration (EIA) for the week ending Oct 16, 2026.
This measure excludes crude oil held in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR).
EIA reports the statistic in thousand barrels.
Values stated in millions of barrels will be converted directly from the EIA-reported value.
The market will use the first EIA publication for the specified week.
Subsequent revisions will not affect resolution.
- Ticker
- KXEIACRUDEW-26OCT21-T413
- Closes
- Oct 21, 2026
- Category
- Economics
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