Will US existing home sales for August 2026 be above 4.20M?
KalshiSettled No759 contracts traded
No
Settled Sep 10, 2026 · opened at 28%
Venue price history · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
22% to 14% (−8.5 pts)Sep 8, 4:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
14% to 22% (+7.5 pts)Sep 6, 11:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
8% to 16% (+8 pts)Aug 30, 6:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
11% to 18% (+6.5 pts)Aug 13, 4:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
27% to 11% (−16 pts)Aug 12, 11:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If US existing home sales for August 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, millions of homes) is above 4.20M, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome verified from Trading Economics (series: United States Existing Home Sales), which reports National Association of Realtors (NAR) data.
- Ticker
- KXEHSALES-26SEP10-T4.20
- Closes
- Sep 10, 2026
- Category
- Economics
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