Will US existing home sales for August 2026 be above 3.80M?
KalshiSettled Yes1,862 contracts traded
Yes
Settled Sep 10, 2026 · opened at 80%
Venue price history · ring: settled Yes (100%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
92% to 97% (+5 pts)Sep 8, 9:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
90% to 84% (−5.5 pts)Aug 28, 7:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
84% to 89% (+5.5 pts)Aug 26, 4:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
89% to 83% (−6.5 pts)Aug 19, 9:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
83% to 89% (+5.5 pts)Aug 18, 4:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If US existing home sales for August 2026 (seasonally adjusted annual rate, millions of homes) is above 3.80M, then the market resolves to Yes.
Outcome verified from Trading Economics (series: United States Existing Home Sales), which reports National Association of Realtors (NAR) data.
- Ticker
- KXEHSALES-26SEP10-T3.80
- Closes
- Sep 10, 2026
- Category
- Economics
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