Markets

Will the Democratic party win 218-221 House seats in the 120th Congress?

KalshiOpen, closes Feb 1, 2027460K contracts traded

0.2%

Yes · −2.2 pts in 24 h · bid 0.1%, ask 0.3%

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Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4

Last traded price, then the order book Langbot recorded to the close

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

  1. 4% to 8% (+3.9 pts)Nov 3, 1:40 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  2. 3% to 7% (+3.5 pts)Nov 2, 5:02 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If the Democratic party has between 218-221 House seats on Feb 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Individuals caucusing with the Democrats will be included.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXDHOUSESEATS-27-220
Closes
Feb 1, 2027
Category
Elections

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