Will Democrats receive above 52% of the vote among men in the 2026 national U.S. House exit poll?
KalshiOpen, closes Nov 6, 2026
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Midpoint of the order book Langbot recorded
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
No move of three points or more on the record.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the Democratic share of the vote among men in the 2026 national U.S.
House exit poll is above 52%, then the market resolves to Yes.
The value is the percentage shown in the Democratic (or Dem.) column of the aggregate Men (or Male) row in the national U.S.
House exit poll table.
The primary resolution source is the CNN figure displayed at exactly 12:00 PM ET on November 6, 2026.
If unavailable, CNN remains the primary source for 24 hours after that time.
If it remains unavailable, use CBS News followed by ABC News through 11:59 PM ET on November 7, 2026.
- Ticker
- KXDEMMENVOTE-26NOV06-A52
- Closes
- Nov 6, 2026
- Category
- Elections
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