Will the rate of CPI inflation be above 3.3% for the year ending in August 2026?
KalshiSettled Yes198K contracts traded
Yes
Settled Sep 11, 2026
Opening and final price only · ring: settled Yes (100%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
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The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 3.3% in the twelve months ending August 2026 (as represented by the one-decimal place value reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics), then the market resolves to Yes.
In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown
- Ticker
- KXCPIYOY-26AUG-T3.3
- Closes
- Sep 11, 2026
- Category
- Economics
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