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Will CPI rise more than 0.5% in September 2026?

Above 0.5%KalshiSettled Yes643K contracts traded

Yes

Settled Oct 14, 2026

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100%50%0%
9:10:04 AM ET

Opening and final price only · ring: settled Yes (100%), not a trade

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If the Consumer Price Index (CPI) increases by more than 0.5% (single-decimal) in September 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The market will always close at 8:29 AM ET on the scheduled day of the data release (October 14, 2026).

Please note: the Expiration Value is the single-decimal value published at the Source Agency.

In the case of a delay in data caused by a federal government shutdown impacting the reliability of the Source Agency, the market’s latest Expiration Date will be extended to the sooner of the release of the Underlying or six months after the end of the government shutdown.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXCPI-26SEP-T0.5
Closes
Oct 14, 2026
Category
Economics

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