Will a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California pass?
In 2026KalshiOpen, closes Nov 3, 20271.6M contracts traded
26%
Yes · −1.5 pts in 24 h · bid 25%, ask 26%
Venue price history, then the order book Langbot recorded to the close
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
23% to 31% (+8 pts)Sep 28, 3:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
34% to 23% (−11 pts)Sep 27, 8:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
24% to 35% (+11 pts)Jun 26, 7:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
32% to 17% (−15 pts)Jun 15, 3:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
34% to 42% (+8 pts)Jun 4, 8:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If a one-time tax on billionaires ballot initiative in California passes, then the market resolves to Yes.
This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.
See full rules for details.
- Ticker
- KXCAWEALTHTAX-26
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027
- Category
- Elections
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