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Who will win the 2026 California State Senate District 26 election?

Sarah RascónKalshiOpen, closes Nov 3, 20271,195 contracts traded

26%

Yes · bid 22%, ask 30%

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100%50%0%
2:50 PM ET3:00 PM3:10 PM

Last traded price, then the order book Langbot recorded to the close

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

  1. 35% to 26% (−9.5 pts)Nov 2, 2:49 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  2. 26% to 35% (+9.5 pts)Nov 2, 2:48 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If Sarah Rascón wins the 2026 California State Senate District 26 election, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.

See full rules for details.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXCASEN26-26-SRAS
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Category
Elections

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