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Will the difference between the number of Yes votes for Proposition 42 and the number of Yes votes for Proposition 40 be above 0 votes in the November 3, 2026 California general election?

KalshiOpen, closes Dec 11, 202648 contracts traded

66%

Yes · −0.5 pts in 24 h · bid 63%, ask 69%

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Oct 15Oct 20Oct 25Oct 30

Venue price history

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

  1. 10% to 64% (+53.5 pts)Oct 28, 5:00 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  2. 54% to 10% (−44 pts)Oct 28, 1:00 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  3. 1% to 45% (+44 pts)Oct 23, 7:00 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  4. 50% to 1% (−49 pts)Oct 23, 2:00 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  5. 44% to 69% (+24.5 pts)Oct 18, 2:00 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If the difference between the number of Yes votes for California Proposition 42 and the number of Yes votes for California Proposition 40 is above 0 as measured in the November 3, 2026 California general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

The number of Yes votes for each proposition is the statewide total of Yes votes reported for that proposition in the Statement of Vote certified by the California Secretary of State.

If the two totals are exactly equal, the market resolves to No.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXCAPROP42V40-26DEC11
Closes
Dec 11, 2026
Category
Elections

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