Markets

Will Proposition 41 pass?

KalshiOpen, closes Nov 3, 2027981 contracts traded

13%

Yes · +6.5 pts in 24 h · bid 5%, ask 20%

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100%50%0%
Jul 3Aug 2Sep 1Oct 1Oct 31

Venue price history, then the order book Langbot recorded to the close

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

  1. 43% to 6% (−36.5 pts)Nov 4, 1:43 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  2. 90% to 55% (−35 pts)Oct 17, 6:00 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  3. 33% to 90% (+57 pts)Oct 15, 2:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  4. 0.5% to 40% (+39.5 pts)Aug 13, 10:00 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  5. 41% to 0.5% (−40 pts)Aug 3, 11:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If Proposition 41 passes in California, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner.

See full rules for details.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXCABALLOTMEASURES-26NOV03-PR41
Closes
Nov 3, 2027
Category
Elections

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