Will Bitcoin be above $85,000 by Oct 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET?
KalshiSettled Yes27.6K contracts traded
Yes
Settled Sep 23, 2026
Opening and final price only · ring: settled Yes (100%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the Bitcoin spot price according to the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index is above $85000 starting Aug 24, 2026 and before Oct 2, 2026 at 11:59 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation.
The resolution value is calculated by taking all BRTI values for each minute from market issuance until the specified time on the target date, removing the top 20% and bottom 20% of values, then averaging the remaining 60% of values.
If the BRTI crosses the threshold at any point during the measurement period (triggering early expiration), the market immediately resolves.
If no data is available at the expiration time, the market resolves to No.
The market can resolve early if Bitcoin definitively crosses the threshold before the target date and time.
- Ticker
- KXBTCPRICE-85000-26OCT02
- Closes
- Sep 23, 2026
- Category
- Crypto
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