Will PL hold 1st seats in Senate after the 2026 Brazilian Senate Election?
KalshiSettled Yes16.9K contracts traded
Yes
Settled Oct 5, 2026
Opening and final price only · ring: settled Yes (100%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If PL holds the most total seats in the Brazilian Senate following the 2026 Brazilian Senate Election, then the market resolves to Yes.
Rankings are determined by total seat count after the election, including seats not contested.
A seat is won when the candidate is declared elected by the electoral authority and either the challenge period has expired, legal challenges are resolved, or the member has taken their seat.
Party affiliation is based on the party under which the candidate was elected, regardless of later changes.
In case of ties for a rank, all tied parties at that rank resolve to Yes with values split proportionally.
If a ranking is skipped due to ties (e.g., two parties tie for #1, next is #3), markets for the skipped rank (#2) resolve to No.
- Ticker
- KXBRSENMOSTSEATS-26OCT04-PL
- Closes
- Oct 5, 2026
- Category
- Elections
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