Markets

Will 1 to 1 bills become law in Aug 2026?

KalshiSettled No5,030 contracts traded

No

Settled Sep 1, 2026 · opened at 48%

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Aug 2Aug 9Aug 16Aug 23Aug 30

Venue price history · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

  1. 25% to 13% (−12 pts)Aug 16, 5:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  2. 42% to 27% (−15 pts)Aug 10, 6:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  3. 16% to 35% (+19 pts)Aug 7, 7:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  4. 33% to 19% (−14.5 pts)Aug 5, 10:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  5. 43% to 32% (−10.5 pts)Aug 1, 10:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If the President signs exactly 1 bills into law in Aug 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Joint resolutions are included.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXBILLSCOUNT-26AUG-1.0
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Category
Politics

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