What will Hailey Bieber say during 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026?
e.l.f. / ElfKalshiOpen, closes Dec 2, 20263,297 contracts traded
47%
Yes · −0.5 pts in 24 h · bid 41%, ask 52%
Last traded price, then the order book Langbot recorded to the close
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
No move of three points or more on the record.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If Hailey Bieber says e.l.f. / Elf as part of 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 , then the market resolves to Yes.
How this is resolved Video of the 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 using the original broadcast, stream, or official video release by The New York Times.
If a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the 2026 New York Times DealBook Summit originally scheduled for November 18, 2026 will be used.
Payout Criteria The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word.
Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc).
Hailey Bieber speaking in an official capacity.
For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion.
Doesn't count for payout Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
Presence alone during a livestream is not sufficient for the market to qualify (e.g., inaudible private conversations on camera, unofficial statements picked up on a hot mic).
Except as otherwise specified, previously aired content, archival footage, and recordings captured at times, places, or events wholly separate from the featured address.
Payout for cancellations and delays If an event is definitively cancelled or the event fails to qualify under the Payout Criterion, or any other circumstance prevents normal resolution, then the market for "Event does not qualify" resolves to Yes and all other markets will resolve to No.
If the event is postponed, and such a postponement is announced by the end of the following calendar day to be rescheduled to a time within 14 calendar days, the markets shall remain open.
Langbot listens for “e.l.f”, “elf”, “e.l.fs”, “e.l.f's”, “elfs”, “elf's”.
- Ticker
- KXBIEBERMENTION-26NOV18-ELF
- Closes
- Dec 2, 2026
- Category
- Mentions
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