Will there be more than 200 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026?
Above 200KalshiSettled No10.2K contracts traded
No
Settled Oct 14, 2026
Opening and final price only · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 200 from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Oct 5, 2026 to Oct 11, 2026.
The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.
- Ticker
- KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26OCT11-T200
- Closes
- Oct 13, 2026
- Category
- Politics
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