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Will there be more than 150 transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026?

Above 150KalshiSettled Yes1,430 contracts traded

Yes

Settled Sep 2, 2026

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11:07:51 AM ET

Opening and final price only · ring: settled Yes (100%), not a trade

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If the number of transit calls through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait as reported by the IMF PortWatch is above 150 from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

The total is calculated by summing daily counts from Aug 24, 2026 to Aug 30, 2026.

The market will resolve no earlier than Tuesday at 9 AM following the end of the period, once complete data is available.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXBABELMANDEBWEEKLY-26AUG30-T150
Closes
Sep 1, 2026
Category
Politics

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