Will the average temperature in New Orleans be above 90°F for 4 or more consecutive days in the week of Aug 24, 2026?
4+ consecutive daysKalshiSettled No123 contracts traded
No
Settled Aug 31, 2026 · opened at 100%
Venue price history · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
6% to 1% (−4.5 pts)Aug 28, 3:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
9% to 6% (−3 pts)Aug 28, 12:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
2% to 9% (+6.5 pts)Aug 27, 10:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If there is at least 4 or more consecutive days within August 24, 2026 through August 30, 2026 on which the daily average temperature at KMSY in New Orleans is strictly greater than 90 degrees Fahrenheit, then the market resolves to Yes.
Data for KMSY is available at https://weather.com/kalshi.
A day's average temperature is the arithmetic mean of the hourly temperature values reported by The Weather Company for KMSY from 12:00 AM to 11:59 PM local time, rounded to the nearest whole degree.
Data as published at the Expiration Time will be used; later revisions are disregarded.
An average of exactly 90 degrees Fahrenheit does not satisfy the condition.
Only days within August 24, 2026 through August 30, 2026 may count toward a streak.
A day with fewer than 18 reported hourly values does not satisfy the condition and breaks a streak.
- Ticker
- KXAVGTKMSY-26AUG30-4
- Closes
- Aug 30, 2026
- Category
- Climate and weather
Test an idea on this market
Open it in the Langbot app to see the market brief, set alerts on its phrases and test a strategy on the events Langbot has recorded.
Test an idea on this market