Will the President's approval rating be between 40.0 and 40.2 according to RealClearPolitics?
40.0 to 40.2KalshiSettled No19.1K contracts traded
No
Settled Sep 4, 2026 · opened at 19%
Venue price history · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
37% to 14% (−23 pts)Sep 3, 9:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
47% to 39% (−8 pts)Sep 3, 3:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
36% to 43% (+7 pts)Sep 3, 12:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
29% to 36% (+7 pts)Sep 3, 11:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
11% to 22% (+11 pts)Sep 2, 2:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the President's approval rating is between 40.0 and 40.2% at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026 according to RealClearPolitics, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market will determine at 11:00 AM ET on September 04, 2026.
- Ticker
- KXAPRPOTUS-26SEP04-40.1
- Closes
- Sep 4, 2026
- Category
- Politics
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