Will Amazon Monthly Credit Card Spend for August 2026 be above 105 ?
KalshiSettled Yes19.7K contracts traded
Yes
Settled Sep 5, 2026 · opened at 78%
Venue price history · ring: settled Yes (100%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
44% to 85% (+41 pts)Sep 3, 7:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
62% to 1% (−61 pts)Sep 1, 4:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
91% to 63% (−28 pts)Aug 31, 10:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
55% to 91% (+36 pts)Aug 31, 3:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
89% to 61% (−28 pts)Aug 20, 6:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the Carbon Arc Amazon Monthly Credit Card Spend (August 2026) for August 2026 is above 105, then the market resolves to Yes.
For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
The index measures year-over-year change, where 100 means Amazon Monthly Credit Card Spend was equal to the same month last year.
Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% more spend than year prior, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
The index is measured by Carbon Arc's aggregated U.S. credit and debit card transaction panel, matched to the same period of the prior year.
The panel updates daily as new data arrives.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company.
All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- Ticker
- KXAMZNCC-26SEP07-T105
- Closes
- Sep 5, 2026
- Category
- Financials
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