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Will Elsie be eliminated from America's Got Talent Season 21 before Sep 3, 2026?

KalshiSettled Yes5,463 contracts traded

Yes

Settled Sep 3, 2026 · opened at 28%

Test an idea on this market
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Aug 24Aug 27Aug 30Sep 2

Venue price history · ring: settled Yes (100%), not a trade

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

  1. 86% to 93% (+7.5 pts)Sep 1, 8:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  2. 92% to 83% (−9.5 pts)Sep 1, 2:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  3. 66% to 89% (+23.5 pts)Aug 27, 7:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  4. 9% to 75% (+66 pts)Aug 24, 8:00 AM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

  5. 29% to 9% (−20 pts)Aug 23, 8:00 PM ET

    Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If Elsie is officially eliminated from America's Got Talent Season 21 before Sep 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Elimination includes being voted off, evicted, knocked out, removed from further contention, voluntary withdrawal, disqualification, or producer removal.

The declaration must be made through official program broadcast, website, verified social media, or press releases.

Multiple simultaneous eliminations count.

Initial elimination counts even if the contestant later returns.

Eliminations immediately reversed in the same episode don't count.

Temporary suspensions, medical holds, or being runner-up in the finale don't count as elimination.

If the season is canceled without declaring eliminations, the market resolves to No.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League.

All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KXAGTELIMINATION-26SEP03-ELS
Closes
Sep 2, 2026

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