Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Sep 10, 2026 be above 6.76%?
KalshiSettled No133 contracts traded
No
Settled Sep 10, 2026 · opened at 21%
Venue price history · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
42% to 52% (+10 pts)Sep 9, 12:00 PM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
53% to 42% (−11 pts)Sep 9, 9:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
32% to 21% (−11 pts)Sep 4, 10:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
21% to 30% (+9 pts)Sep 4, 4:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
36% to 21% (−15 pts)Sep 4, 3:00 AM ET
Nothing on the record in the ten minutes before.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Sep 10, 2026 is above 6.76%, then the market resolves to Yes.
The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Sep 10, 2026.
For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m.
ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m.
ET on Wednesday.
The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m.
ET.
This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week.
Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution.
- Ticker
- KX30YMORTW-26SEP10-T6.76
- Closes
- Sep 10, 2026
- Category
- Economics
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