Markets

Will the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 be above 7.26%?

KalshiSettled Yes296 contracts traded

Yes

Settled Oct 22, 2026

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100%50%0%
12:39:40 PM ET

Opening and final price only · ring: settled Yes (100%), not a trade

What moved it

The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.

Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.

The rules

Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.

If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 22, 2026 is above 7.26%, then the market resolves to Yes.

The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 22, 2026.

For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m.

ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m.

ET on Wednesday.

The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m.

ET.

This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week.

Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution.

The market on Kalshi

Ticker
KX30YMORTW-26OCT22-T7.26
Closes
Oct 22, 2026
Category
Economics

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