Will the 2-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% in Oct 2026?
4.93% or aboveKalshiSettled No2,075 contracts traded
No
Settled Nov 1, 2026
Opening and final price only · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the daily published par yield for the 2-year U.S.
Treasury is above 4.92% on any business day between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 1, 2026 and Oct 30, 2026.
Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 2-year generic constant-maturity tenor as published by the U.S.
Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.
Revisions to the Underlying made after Expiration will not be accounted for in determining the Expiration Value.
Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.
Otherwise, the market will expire at 10:00 AM ET on the calendar day after the final day of the period.
If an Expiration Value cannot be determined, the Contract is subject to Rule 7.1 of the Rulebook.
- Ticker
- KX2YRDIRHM-26OCT30H-T4.92
- Closes
- Oct 30, 2026
- Category
- Financials
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