Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.26% by Oct 16, 2026?
5.27% or aboveKalshiSettled No1,626 contracts traded
No
Settled Oct 26, 2026
Opening and final price only · ring: settled No (0%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
Langbot has the opening and final price for this market, not the path between them.
The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the daily published par yield for the 10Y U.S.
Treasury is above 5.26% on any business day between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
How this is resolved This market covers the period between Oct 9, 2026 and Oct 16, 2026.
Resolution is based solely on the Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rate for the 10Y tenor as published by the U.S.
Department of the Treasury for each business day in this period; intraday values are not considered.
The first published value for each business day governs unless the Exchange determines a material error prior to that strike's expiration.
Expiration If the threshold is met, the market may expire early in accordance with Rule 7.2.
Otherwise, the market will expire by 7:00 PM ET on the first business day after the final daily value of the period is published, or one week after the period ends, whichever comes first.
- Ticker
- KX10YRDIRHW-26OCT16H-T5.26
- Closes
- Oct 16, 2026
- Category
- Financials
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