Will the Federal Reserve hike rates by December 31, 2026?
Before 2027KalshiSettled Yes4.7M contracts traded
Yes
Settled Sep 16, 2026
100%50%0%
Opening and final price only · ring: settled Yes (100%), not a trade
What moved it
The largest moves on the record and what Langbot heard or read just before each one. Timing, not cause.
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The rules
Kalshi's rules, as the venue wrote them.
If the Federal Reserve hikes again by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ticker
- FEDHIKE-26DEC31
- Closes
- Sep 16, 2026
- Category
- Economics
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